Nima Kargah-Ostadi, PhD, PE, PMP
Vice President for Research, Callentis Consulting Group
Vice President for Project Management, Solwey Consulting
nima@nimaresearch.com
Context-Sensitive Data-Driven
Decision-Making
Numerous
organizations have been collecting vast amounts
of organizational, people- and machine-generated
data at ever increasing volumes, speeds, and
varieties, with various levels of quality and
inter-connectivity. My objective is to use
communication and computational skills to assist
data owners in extracting information out of
data, solving complicated problems, and making
pertinent data-driven decisions. By
pursuing a doctoral major in civil
infrastructure and a doctoral minor in
computational science, I have successfully
developed a series of novel methodologies that
have enabled me to tackle extraordinarily
difficult problems. My research approach
reconciles subject matter expertise and data
with computational intelligence techniques to
solve complex optimization and prediction
problems. This unique tactic has led me to
establish effective, efficient, and reliable
analysis tools that generate sustainable,
economical, and data-driven decisions regarding
the transportation infrastructure networks.
In this
regard, I have been using data engineering tools
to acquire and prepare data. This includes
design and implementation of relational
databases using structured query language (SQL),
exploring data using statistical and
visualization methods, and pre-processing data
for scaling, feature selection, and reducing
noise, variability, and dimensionality.
Following data engineering, I have employed
computational science to analyze the data and
report the results. This includes solving
complex problems such as classification,
regression, pattern recognition, prediction, and
multi-objective optimization using machine
learning techniques and evolutionary
computation. During my academic and
industry experience, I have developed
comprehensive frameworks for benchmarking,
evaluation, and comparison of various
computational techniques using context-sensitive
quantitative and qualitative success metrics.
In my past consulting services, I have assisted State and Municipal roadway agencies in extracting practical information out of pavement condition data to be used in pavement design and pavement management decisions. I conducted diagnostic conversations with agencies to understand asset management needs, communicated client needs to my team, identified context-sensitive computational methodology and visualization interface to meet client objectives, developed quality assurance and quality control frameworks, and presented final products/solutions to the client and their stakeholders.
I have been
applying my research paradigm to incorporate
sustainability into infrastructure systems
engineering and management via application and
integration of computational techniques inspired
by natural intelligence. Infrastructure
asset management refers to a decision support
system that helps authorities in making
decisions among alternatives for further
development of assets or improvement of existing
infrastructure. Civil infrastructure
systems are comprised of interconnected asset
networks. Increased infrastructure
deterioration, increased performance demands, and
challenges posed by climate change, along with
limited budget and human resources have all made
asset management a critical and challenging
task. The civil engineering profession is
expected to act swiftly and wisely to preserve and
rehabilitate existing infrastructure, and to
incorporate a sustainability vision into the asset
management systems. The performance
management concept in the MAP-21* and
the subsequent FAST** infrastructure acts have
been developed with this perspective.
Analysis
tools are essential to the decision-making process
at both the network and project levels.
Probably the most critical analysis tools in every
asset management system are condition evaluation,
performance prediction, needs assessment,
prioritization and optimization toolboxes.
However, it is not easy to develop these toolboxes
in a reliable fashion. Often, agencies have to deal
with incomplete, subjective, ambiguous, uncertain,
or erroneous information that makes the developed
analysis tools, and, in turn, the decision-making
process very unreliable or even irrational.
Therefore, extensive investment is required for data
collection and its quality control and quality
assurance precautions. In addition, there is a
need for more capable computational tools that can
handle problems such as numerical intensity or
ambiguous subjectivity within the collected data.
My soft computing
practice employs machine
learning (ML) techniques and evolutionary algorithms
(EA) in addressing computational challenges of
decision support systems. ML are massively
parallel computing systems capable of pattern
recognition and function approximation without
definition. EAs are optimization heuristics
that have good global search ability, do not depend
on seed values, and do not rely on gradient
information. Computational intelligence
methods, including artificial
neural networks (ANN), evolutionary algorithms
(EA), and fuzzy
systems (FS) have been demonstrated to be
promising in addressing the difficulties involved in
the development of analysis tools for infrastructure
asset management. On one hand, techniques such
as ML and FS have the potential to quantify
sustainability indicators such as social and
environmental aspects, risk and reliability, life
cycle costs, and network performance. On the
other hand, EAs are powerful heuristics that can
assist in multi-objective optimization of the
corresponding sustainability objective
functions.
* Moving
Ahead for Progress in the 21st
Century
** Fixing
America's Surface Transportation